Feb 2, 2013

Financial apocalypse if Pakatan wins?

To be truthful, similar to many, I had voted for the dacing for the Parliamentary seats in the last General Election. The State seats votes went to the opposition.

This kind of voting methodology is not really rocket science, it is what we called as 'test water'.

And I guess through the administration of state of Penang, I think the water is proven warm enough and perhaps this time round, it is time to go in for a full swim.

For those who are afraid that a change in government will cause economical instability and massive share market losses, I guess you just have to live with how much the Big brother going to fark you back nicely once they got their arrogance up with the fresh mandate.

They have invested so much in the past, I am sure winning the next election is the ticket to Paradise to more plundering of rakyat's money.

Hell, we're already getting fark nicely now itself. Here's 2 videos of testament to it.

And this.



I am no financial genius, not even a thrifty guy to begin with.

But here's what the expert gotta say. Let's digest them and let it helps you in deciding your choice in the ballot paper:
To Whom It May Concern:
If you are indeed scared of a Pakatan victory, and thinks that the market will fall 500 points, may I advise all BN supporters to open a futures account and sell a few contracts of the KL index. That way, if Pakatan wins, you still make mah .... If BN wins, then quickly reverse contract lor ... what's the fuss??
The scare tactics is getting ridiculous. If you hold shares you can sell down first ... such a looong period for you to sell your shares from October last year till February today also no announcement of election leh. Will your EPF account get hit in a fall? Not really because the majority of your EPF funds are in bonds. Because 75% of investment funds are concentrated towards bodies closely linked to trends in the interest market rate, including Malaysian Government Securities, loans or bonds, and money market instruments, low interest rates for the past few years had an adverse effect on returns for EPF investments. Hence the real impact from a drop in share prices will be muted. 
 
My view is that in the event of a Pakatan victory, the index may test 1400 briefly. If we have a smooth and quick transition with no chaos, then we will be back to 1600 within two months. I can safely say that there are a lot of international funds NOT investing in Malaysia because of the current government who will seriously consider investing again if Pakatan wins. 
Money is money, what they don't like is uncertainty. If transition is smooth, money will return just as swiftly as it left. Just go ask the Thai investors, they change government how many times already in the past 10 years with weekly rallies and protests to boot and their market has outperformed ours over the last 3, 5 years.
P.S. Vote with your brain and also your balls!

Anyway, here's possibly how the cookie gonna crumble this GE...

Table 1: The possible outcome in GE13.

no
STATE
PR
BN
1
PERLIS
1
2
2
KEDAH
13
2
3
KELANTAN
13
1
4
TERENGGANU
4
4
5
PENANG
12
1
6
PERAK
18
6
7
PAHANG
5
9
8
SELANGOR
20
2
9
WILAYAH PERSEKUTUAN
10
1
10
PUTRAJAYA
0
1
11
NEGRI SEMBILAN
6
2
12
MELAKA
2
4
13
JOHOR
12
14
14
LABUAN
1
0
15
SABAH
12
13
16
SARAWAK
16
15


145
77

Here's a video to keep your common sense intact:


 

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